Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.001737 0.001854 0.001974 0.002109 0.002254 0.002408 0.002582
2025-01-05 0.001552 0.001714 0.001889 0.002092 0.002323 0.002577 0.002879
2025-01-12 0.001408 0.001595 0.001803 0.002052 0.002346 0.002681 0.003094
2025-01-19 0.001309 0.001514 0.001747 0.002035 0.002383 0.002793 0.003316
2025-01-26 0.001194 0.001404 0.001648 0.001956 0.002336 0.002795 0.003397
2025-02-02 0.001164 0.001391 0.001661 0.002008 0.002448 0.002992 0.003726
2025-02-09 0.001130 0.001370 0.001661 0.002042 0.002536 0.003161 0.004026
2025-02-16 0.001125 0.001383 0.001701 0.002128 0.002691 0.003422 0.004460
2025-02-23 0.001082 0.001347 0.001677 0.002127 0.002733 0.003534 0.004698
2025-03-02 0.001018 0.001278 0.001609 0.002064 0.002687 0.003524 0.004762
2025-03-09 0.000967 0.001226 0.001559 0.002023 0.002666 0.003545 0.004871
2025-03-16 0.000937 0.001199 0.001539 0.002021 0.002700 0.003643 0.005092
2025-03-23 0.000894 0.001157 0.001503 0.002000 0.002713 0.003723 0.005310
2025-03-30 0.000857 0.001121 0.001472 0.001986 0.002734 0.003817 0.005558
2025-04-06 0.000814 0.001075 0.001427 0.001948 0.002720 0.003856 0.005723
2025-04-13 0.000782 0.001043 0.001399 0.001932 0.002736 0.003940 0.005962
2025-04-20 0.000734 0.000985 0.001332 0.001857 0.002658 0.003876 0.005955
2025-04-27 0.000727 0.000987 0.001349 0.001907 0.002772 0.004115 0.006465
2025-05-04 0.000716 0.000980 0.001355 0.001939 0.002860 0.004317 0.006929
2025-05-11 0.000719 0.000995 0.001391 0.002019 0.003028 0.004659 0.007662
2025-05-18 0.000699 0.000976 0.001376 0.002019 0.003066 0.004787 0.008022
2025-05-25 0.000665 0.000934 0.001325 0.001959 0.003004 0.004742 0.008060
2025-06-01 0.000638 0.000901 0.001288 0.001920 0.002973 0.004749 0.008195